Nick, it's amazing that Twitter's growth has continued to be so strong with no signs of abating. Year over year growth of 965% according to Compete. The 50M estimate seems reasonable and I would expect the company to be acquired by summer. The question is who will be the lucky suitor?
Paulo
· 9 months ago
DO you have any information about Twitter users in Latin America, and specially, Brazil?
Rommell
· 8 months ago
Paulo,
Your comment reflects my interest in Brazilian use of social media. I would like to connect with you to discuss this topic. Are you on twitter?
@montenegror
iphonedev.in
· 9 months ago
I won't be surprised if Twitter passes 100M users by the end of the year as it takes the online lives of netizens by storm. It has become an indispensable id for any web-conscious person or company. People are squatting the twitter ids just like the internet domain names!
Jeff Pester
· 9 months ago
The previous user count of 6 MM US users for last month was undercounted, so the % increase for the month was probably an overstatement. Having said that, the 8 MM number is likely also an understatement.
Would expect total users by year-end to be about 50 million, Twitter enterprise value at that time approximately $1 - $2 billion. Basically the market values of Twitter and Facebook are going to converge by year-end.
Once Twitter's new feature set gets rolled out over the next several months it's only a matter of time before Twitter becomes more valuable than Facebook - probably by this time next year.
netlatch
· 9 months ago
Wow 50M by the end of the year!
Vashtirama
· 9 months ago
I'm one of those who joined Twitter when FB changed their TOS and it's the best thing I ever did. I've left my FB page up but live on Twitter instead, and sync them. @vashtirama
allanwhite
· 9 months ago
Services like Ping.fm and Hellotxt.com are great for "cross-posting" to multiple services. I post from there and it goes to Twitter and FB (and others). Easier than syncing, and more powerful in my view.
Miguel de Luis
· 9 months ago
I am a very happy twitter user :)
CathyWebSavvyPR
· 9 months ago
I wonder what resistance Facebook will see from it's installed base. Many folks on FB want to connect with folks they know already, (much of people's Twitter following begins with people they only know from on-line interactions) and FB folks want to be able to limit the amount of info they see about people. Many people who brought their twitter feed into FB using the Twitter App, ended up turning it off, as the info confused people. We shall see.
jfogarty
· 9 months ago
I still don't get how Twitter makes money? How can it be valued so high unless there are plans to sell advertising to all those users? Seems like the old tech bubble.
That being said...I'm loving my twittering. And am about to turn off the Facebook/Twitter app. Would rather it go to LinkedIn but read that it can't/won't.
happyseaurchin
· 9 months ago
why is it worth so much???? it is that is valuable when are we going learn peeps brighten up!
maikeru76
· 9 months ago
Twitter is hewing to the "build it and they will come..." mindset like Facebook.
Now, the users are coming... Will Google come next? Bubble or not...
Twitter is hot as of the moment and microblogging is here to stay
probook
· 9 months ago
I think your 50m estimate is great. As for 2010, the sky is the limit.
Jeremiah Owyang
· 9 months ago
Where is your data proving Twitter is 8mm users? Can you call out the source? I don't see it Nick.
Hope to see you soon, I'll be at SXSW and Web 20 expo
Ari Herzog
· 9 months ago
I'd be surprised if Twitter, Inc. is acquired in 2009.
The bigger question in my mind involves the approximate 25% of the U.S. Congress and 100+ UK Councils actively twittering. Whether Twitter, Inc. works out some international public-private partnership sounds more possible than an acquisition. If anything, Google would be involved. I doubt Facebook, if it's between the two.
I'd like to state that Digital Biographer is going to acquire Twitter.
I'm just waiting for my bailout money to come through... ;-)
Seriously, I think Twitter have enough cash to burn through another year-18 months without worrying about an exit. They are going to do some hiring and perhaps realise some strategic alliances to monetise elements of what they are building.
But I think they can still play a long, slow game - and they should do. They are worth more with every new user account.
Raul
· 9 months ago
interesting
Cherple
· 9 months ago
I think Twitter will reach more than 50 million users by the end of the year, but 100 million would be tough.... Either way, tremendous potential and ridiculous growth in such a short time period... I guess we'll see.
Dawn
· 9 months ago
That is simply fabulous..Love twitter and all my tweets! twitter.com/dawndelrusso :-)
miketempleton
· 9 months ago
Twitter will do their best to avoid a merger or acquisition. They've got a constant stream of investor funds and have no need to be taken over by someone else. They know their product best and are quietly building their model in the background.
For now the best they can do is to keep improving on the service and finding ways to get more people registered. With the new home page layout and an emphasis on status updates at Facebook, it will be hard to win away those already comfortable on Facebook.
Nonkey1
· 9 months ago
All bloggers should use Twitter as a role model and stick to 140 characters for everything they write. What a wonderful world that would be.
sikis
· 6 months ago
Facebook will see from it's installed base. Many folks on FB want to connect with folks they know already, (much of people's Twitter following begins with people they only know from on-line interactions) and FB folks want to beable to limit the amount of info they see about people
hillary hartley
· 6 months ago
Twitter had over 6 million users (i.e. people who have created accounts) several months ago. I think you're conflating user accounts with unique visitors.
Unique Visitors (UVs) is a very different metric from the number of Twitter accounts that exist. The latest UV numbers for May were nearly 20 million according to Compete, but no one seems to know how many user accounts exist.
Anyone have any idea how many user accounts have been created? Techcrunch says take a recent userid and divide by 5. Any other theories?
EZ Website Monitoring
· 3 months ago
It's amazing how much it has grown since this article as well. I give them props and their technical team for keeping up with the growth (finally). It seems they are doing fairly well scaling servers after all the downtime issues in the past.
All Comments
Of course having 2 million actual users is slightly less impressive.
http://www.ontimepc.com/information.php?info_id=26
Your comment reflects my interest in Brazilian use of social media. I would like to connect with you to discuss this topic. Are you on twitter?
@montenegror
Would expect total users by year-end to be about 50 million, Twitter enterprise value at that time approximately $1 - $2 billion. Basically the market values of Twitter and Facebook are going to converge by year-end.
Once Twitter's new feature set gets rolled out over the next several months it's only a matter of time before Twitter becomes more valuable than Facebook - probably by this time next year.
That being said...I'm loving my twittering. And am about to turn off the Facebook/Twitter app. Would rather it go to LinkedIn but read that it can't/won't.
it is that is valuable
when are we going learn
peeps
brighten up!
Now, the users are coming... Will Google come next? Bubble or not...
Twitter is hot as of the moment and microblogging is here to stay
As for 2010, the sky is the limit.
Hope to see you soon, I'll be at SXSW and Web 20 expo
The bigger question in my mind involves the approximate 25% of the U.S. Congress and 100+ UK Councils actively twittering. Whether Twitter, Inc. works out some international public-private partnership sounds more possible than an acquisition. If anything, Google would be involved. I doubt Facebook, if it's between the two.
http://www.web-strategist.com/blog/2009/01/11/a...
I'm just waiting for my bailout money to come through... ;-)
Seriously, I think Twitter have enough cash to burn through another year-18 months without worrying about an exit. They are going to do some hiring and perhaps realise some strategic alliances to monetise elements of what they are building.
But I think they can still play a long, slow game - and they should do. They are worth more with every new user account.
For now the best they can do is to keep improving on the service and finding ways to get more people registered. With the new home page layout and an emphasis on status updates at Facebook, it will be hard to win away those already comfortable on Facebook.
Unique Visitors (UVs) is a very different metric from the number of Twitter accounts that exist. The latest UV numbers for May were nearly 20 million according to Compete, but no one seems to know how many user accounts exist.
Anyone have any idea how many user accounts have been created? Techcrunch says take a recent userid and divide by 5. Any other theories?